General election 2024

York Outer

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Luke Charters

2019 election result

  Tories 49.4%

  Labour 31.3%

  Lib Dem 18.1%

  Independent 1.3%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 40% Tory 32% Labour
Survation Labour 42% Tory 27% Labour
Ipsos Labour 51% Tory 30% Labour
Savanta Labour 45% Tory 23% Labour
Focaldata Labour 38% Tory 26% Labour
WeThink Labour 37% Reform 24% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 48% Tory 25% Labour
More in Common Labour 40% Tory 27% Labour
JL Partners Labour 36% Tory 25% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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