General election 2024


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Lib Dem

Adam Dance

2019 election result

  Tories 58.4%

  Lib Dem 31.1%

  Labour 6.3%

  Green 2.7%

  Independent 1.2%

The Lib Dems are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 48% Tory 27% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 44% Tory 28% Lib Dem
Ipsos Lib Dem 35% Tory 33% Lib Dem
Savanta Lib Dem 35% Tory 30% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 41% Tory 30% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 41% Tory 27% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 50% Tory 25% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 38% Tory 27% Lib Dem
JL Partners Tory 32% Lib Dem 30% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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