General election 2024


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Tom Collins

2019 election result

  Tories 50.8%

  Labour 37.5%

  Lib Dem 7.2%

  Green 3.3%

  Independent 1.1%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 48% Tory 20% Labour
Survation Labour 47% Tory 26% Labour
Ipsos Labour 57% Tory 25% Labour
Savanta Labour 51% Tory 24% Labour
Focaldata Labour 48% Tory 26% Labour
WeThink Labour 49% Tory 26% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 50% Reform 18% Labour
More in Common Labour 43% Tory 25% Labour
JL Partners Labour 42% Tory 24% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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