General election 2024
The Lib Dems are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Lib Dem 51% | Tory 24% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Lib Dem 50% | Tory 22% | Lib Dem |
| Ipsos | Tory 30% | Labour 30% | Labour |
| Savanta | Lib Dem 35% | Tory 29% | Lib Dem |
| Focaldata | Lib Dem 45% | Tory 26% | Lib Dem |
| WeThink | Lib Dem 43% | Tory 26% | Lib Dem |
| Electoral Calculus | Lib Dem 57% | Tory 22% | Lib Dem |
| More in Common | Lib Dem 39% | Tory 28% | Lib Dem |
| JL Partners | Lib Dem 38% | Tory 24% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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