General election 2024

Wirral West

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Labour

Matthew Patrick

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 49.1%

  Tories 40%

  Lib Dem 6.4%

  Brexit Party 2.3%

  Green 2.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 31% Wirral South (2019), 69% Wirral West (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 55% Tory 22% Labour
Survation Labour 61% Tory 24% Labour
Ipsos Labour 61% Tory 23% Labour
Savanta Labour 55% Tory 20% Labour
Focaldata Labour 52% Tory 23% Labour
WeThink Labour 48% Tory 23% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 54% Tory 22% Labour
More in Common Labour 56% Tory 25% Labour
JL Partners Labour 41% Tory 24% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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