General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 17% Kingston and Surbiton (2019), 83% Wimbledon (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
The Lib Dems are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Lib Dem 46% | Tory 22% | Lib Dem |
Survation | Lib Dem 40% | Labour 28% | None |
Ipsos | Lib Dem 33% | Labour 32% | None |
Savanta | Lib Dem 36% | Labour 32% | None |
Focaldata | Lib Dem 38% | Labour 26% | None |
WeThink | Lib Dem 41% | Labour 26% | None |
Electoral Calculus | Lib Dem 54% | Tory 18% | Lib Dem |
More in Common | Lib Dem 39% | Tory 25% | Lib Dem |
JL Partners | Lib Dem 35% | Labour 27% | None |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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