General election 2024

West Lancashire

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Labour

Ashley Dalton

2019 election result

  Labour 52.1%

  Tories 36.3%

  Lib Dem 4.9%

  Brexit Party 4.3%

  Green 2.4%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 58% Reform 18% Labour
Survation Labour 62% Tory 17% Labour
Ipsos Labour 58% Tory 20% Labour
Savanta Labour 61% Tory 21% Labour
Focaldata Labour 57% Reform 18% Labour
WeThink Labour 57% Tory 17% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 60% Tory 16% Labour
More in Common Labour 63% Tory 18% Labour
JL Partners Labour 50% Reform 20% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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