General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 24% East Ham (2019), 76% West Ham (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 61% | Green 11% | None |
| Survation | Labour 55% | Other 15% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 68% | Tory 10% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 71% | Tory 14% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 71% | Reform 9% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 59% | Tory 10% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 64% | Tory 10% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 80% | Tory 10% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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