General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 12% Halesowen and Rowley Regis (2019), 61% West Bromwich East (2019), 27% West Bromwich West (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 43% | Tory 22% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 44% | Tory 25% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 46% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 53% | Tory 26% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 52% | Tory 21% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 46% | Reform 21% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 48% | Reform 28% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 54% | Tory 30% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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