General election 2024

West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine

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SNP

Glen David Reynolds

2019 election result

  Tories 42.7%

  SNP 41.1%

  Lib Dem 11.7%

  Labour 4.6%

The SNP are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov SNP 37% Tory 30% SNP
Survation Tory 28% SNP 28% SNP
Ipsos SNP 31% Tory 28% SNP
Savanta Tory 29% Labour 29% Labour
Focaldata SNP 33% Tory 26% SNP
WeThink Labour 29% SNP 28% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 28% SNP 28% None
More in Common SNP 32% Tory 24% SNP
JL Partners SNP 32% Tory 24% SNP

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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