General election 2024

Warrington South

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Sarah Edith Hall

2019 election result

  Tories 45.5%

  Labour 42.3%

  Lib Dem 9.3%

  Brexit Party 2.6%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 50% Tory 21% Labour
Survation Labour 59% Tory 27% Labour
Ipsos Labour 52% Tory 23% Labour
Savanta Labour 53% Tory 21% Labour
Focaldata Labour 55% Tory 21% Labour
WeThink Labour 62% Tory 20% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 53% Tory 22% Labour
More in Common Labour 54% Tory 23% Labour
JL Partners Labour 47% Tory 20% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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