General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 0% Central Devon (2019), 100% Torridge and West Devon (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Too close to call: the Lib Dems and Labour are within a few percentage points of each other in this seat, so it is not currently clear which party is best placed to challenge the Tories here.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 30% | Lib Dem 24% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Labour 31% | Tory 29% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Tory 34% | Labour 32% | Labour |
| Savanta | Tory 29% | Labour 29% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 33% | Labour 28% | Labour |
| WeThink | Tory 30% | Lib Dem 25% | Lib Dem |
| Electoral Calculus | Tory 32% | Labour 28% | Labour |
| More in Common | Tory 37% | Labour 26% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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