General election 2024

Tiverton and Minehead

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Lib Dem

Rachel Gilmour

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 59.9%

  Labour 17.7%

  Lib Dem 17.6%

  Green 3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 38% Bridgwater and West Somerset (2019), 16% Taunton Deane (2019), 46% Tiverton and Honiton (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This constituency was previously "too close to call". We are now making a Lib Dem recommendation to increase alignment between tactical voting websites. We also note that it appears to be a Lib Dem target seat and polls show the Lib Dems best placed to win. This constituency includes part of the old Tiverton and Honiton constituency, which the Lib Dems won in a byelection in 2022.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 35% Tory 30% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 38% Tory 26% Lib Dem
Ipsos Lib Dem 38% Tory 29% Lib Dem
Savanta Tory 33% Lib Dem 27% Lib Dem
Focaldata Tory 34% Lib Dem 23% Lib Dem
WeThink Tory 32% Lib Dem 29% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 47% Tory 24% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 39% Tory 37% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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