General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 26% West Bromwich East (2019), 63% West Bromwich West (2019), 12% Wolverhampton South East (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 37% | Reform 27% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 52% | Tory 25% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 47% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 52% | Tory 24% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 46% | Tory 23% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 44% | Tory 22% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 53% | Tory 21% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 49% | Tory 34% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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