General election 2024


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Jennifer Craft

2019 election result

  Tories 58.6%

  Labour 34.4%

  Lib Dem 3.2%

  Independent 2.2%

  Green 1.7%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 46% Tory 26% Labour
Survation Labour 44% Tory 29% Labour
Ipsos Labour 48% Tory 28% Labour
Savanta Labour 50% Tory 30% Labour
Focaldata Labour 41% Tory 27% Labour
WeThink Labour 40% Tory 27% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 43% Reform 26% Labour
More in Common Labour 43% Tory 30% Labour
JL Partners Labour 39% Tory 26% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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