General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 16% Bexhill and Battle (2019), 84% Wealden (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Too close to call: the Lib Dems and Labour are within a few percentage points of each other in this seat, so it is not currently clear which party is best placed to challenge the Tories here.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 36% | Lib Dem 25% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Labour 32% | Tory 30% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Tory 35% | Labour 26% | Labour |
| Savanta | Tory 31% | Labour 31% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 34% | Labour 21% | Labour |
| WeThink | Tory 31% | Labour 24% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Tory 33% | Labour 25% | Labour |
| More in Common | Tory 38% | Lib Dem 25% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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