General election 2024

Stone, Great Wyrley and Penkridge

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Labour

Jacqueline Anne Brown

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 66.6%

  Labour 22.3%

  Lib Dem 7%

  Green 4.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 48% South Staffordshire (2019), 30% Stafford (2019), 22% Stone (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 41% Tory 38% Labour
Survation Labour 50% Tory 41% Labour
Ipsos Tory 50% Labour 37% Labour
Savanta Tory 43% Labour 40% Labour
Focaldata Labour 46% Tory 41% Labour
WeThink Labour 45% Tory 42% Labour
Electoral Calculus Tory 42% Labour 40% Labour
More in Common Tory 46% Labour 46% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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