General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 48% South Staffordshire (2019), 30% Stafford (2019), 22% Stone (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Labour 41% | Tory 38% | Labour |
Survation | Labour 50% | Tory 41% | Labour |
Ipsos | Tory 50% | Labour 37% | Labour |
Savanta | Tory 43% | Labour 40% | Labour |
Focaldata | Labour 46% | Tory 41% | Labour |
WeThink | Labour 45% | Tory 42% | Labour |
Electoral Calculus | Tory 42% | Labour 40% | Labour |
More in Common | Tory 46% | Labour 46% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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