Stockton North

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Chris McDonald

Notional 2019 election result

Labour 42.9%

Tories 41.4%

Brexit Party 9.1%

Lib Dem 4%

The North East Party 2.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 92% Stockton North (2019), 8% Stockton South (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 51%	Reform 26%	Labour
Survation	Labour 54%	Tory 21%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 58%	Tory 19%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 55%	Reform 20%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 54%	Reform 22%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 58%	Reform 19%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 52%	Reform 27%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 49%	Reform 26%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 49%	Reform 21%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.