General election 2024

Stirling and Strathallan

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SNP

Alyn Smith

Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 50.7%

  Tories 33.9%

  Labour 8.2%

  Lib Dem 5.5%

  Green 1.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 8% Ochil and South Perthshire (2019), 92% Stirling (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov SNP 35% Labour 29% None
Survation Labour 36% Tory 22% Labour
Ipsos SNP 36% Labour 32% None
Savanta SNP 36% Labour 31% None
Focaldata SNP 33% Labour 25% None
WeThink SNP 34% Labour 30% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 40% SNP 32% None
More in Common SNP 32% Lib Dem 24% None
JL Partners SNP 36% Labour 28% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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