St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Ian Sollom

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 50.6%

Lib Dem 29%

Labour 16.9%

Independent 1.8%

Green 1.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 43% Huntingdon (2019), 39% South Cambridgeshire (2019), 18% South East Cambridgeshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 37%	Tory 29%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 30%	Labour 28%	None
Ipsos	Labour 32%	Tory 30%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 29%	Tory 28%	Labour
Focaldata	Lib Dem 32%	Tory 29%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Labour 31%	Tory 28%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Lib Dem 41%	Tory 19%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Labour 29%	Lib Dem 27%	None
JL Partners	Labour 30%	Lib Dem 24%	None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.