General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 43% Huntingdon (2019), 39% South Cambridgeshire (2019), 18% South East Cambridgeshire (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Lib Dem 33% | Tory 30% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Lib Dem 31% | Tory 28% | Lib Dem |
| Ipsos | Labour 32% | Tory 30% | Labour |
| Savanta | Labour 29% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 30% | Lib Dem 25% | Lib Dem |
| WeThink | Labour 31% | Tory 28% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Lib Dem 41% | Tory 20% | Lib Dem |
| More in Common | Tory 36% | Lib Dem 26% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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