St Helens North

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Labour

David Baines

2019 election result

Labour 52.3%

Tories 26.6%

Brexit Party 11.3%

Lib Dem 5.6%

Green 4.1%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 53%	Reform 21%	Labour
Survation	Labour 60%	Reform 13%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 57%	Tory 16%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 57%	Reform 19%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 52%	Reform 22%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 59%	Reform 17%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 51%	Reform 22%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 47%	Other 24%	None
JL Partners	Labour 53%	Reform 20%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.