General election 2024

Southampton Test

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Satvir Kaur

2019 election result

  Labour 49.5%

  Tories 35.7%

  Lib Dem 7.7%

  Brexit Party 3.5%

  Green 3.2%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 43% Reform 18% Labour
Survation Labour 53% Tory 21% Labour
Ipsos Labour 54% Tory 18% Labour
Savanta Labour 57% Tory 18% Labour
Focaldata Labour 47% Tory 20% Labour
WeThink Labour 49% Tory 18% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 53% Reform 21% Labour
More in Common Labour 49% Tory 16% Labour
JL Partners Labour 47% Tory 21% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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