General election 2024

Southampton Itchen

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Labour

Darren Paffey

2019 election result

  Tories 50.5%

  Labour 41%

  Lib Dem 5.3%

  Green 2.2%

  UK Independence Party 1%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 43% Tory 21% Labour
Survation Labour 51% Tory 28% Labour
Ipsos Labour 51% Tory 25% Labour
Savanta Labour 53% Tory 23% Labour
Focaldata Labour 45% Tory 26% Labour
WeThink Labour 49% Tory 22% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 53% Reform 22% Labour
More in Common Labour 47% Tory 25% Labour
JL Partners Labour 41% Tory 27% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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