General election 2024

South West Norfolk

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Terry Jermy

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 68.9%

  Labour 18.2%

  Lib Dem 8.2%

  Green 3.1%

  Monster Raving Loony Party 1.6%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 2% Mid Norfolk (2019), 98% South West Norfolk (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 32% Labour 30% Labour
Survation Labour 35% Tory 30% Labour
Ipsos Tory 31% Reform 30% Labour
Savanta Labour 33% Tory 30% Labour
Focaldata Tory 37% Labour 31% Labour
WeThink Labour 32% Tory 30% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 34% Reform 32% Labour
More in Common Tory 33% Labour 28% Labour
JL Partners Tory 35% Labour 27% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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