South West Devon

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Sarah Allen

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 62.2%

Labour 21.8%

Lib Dem 12.2%

Green 3.8%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 92% South West Devon (2019), 8% Torridge and West Devon (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 32%	Labour 29%	Labour
Survation	Labour 35%	Reform 28%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 38%	Tory 35%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 35%	Tory 29%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 34%	Labour 29%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 32%	Reform 30%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 36%	Tory 24%	Labour
More in Common	Tory 35%	Labour 33%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 30%	Tory 26%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.