General election 2024

South Shropshire

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Labour

Simon Thomson

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 62.9%

  Labour 17%

  Lib Dem 16.3%

  Green 3.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 90% Ludlow (2019), 10% Shrewsbury and Atcham (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This constituency was previously "too close to call". We are now making a Labour recommendation to increase alignment between tactical voting websites. We also note that polls show Labour best placed to win.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 32% Lib Dem 27% Lib Dem
Survation Tory 27% Lib Dem 25% Lib Dem
Ipsos Tory 39% Labour 26% Labour
Savanta Tory 30% Labour 30% Labour
Focaldata Tory 34% Labour 23% Labour
WeThink Tory 30% Labour 30% Labour
Electoral Calculus Tory 30% Labour 29% Labour
More in Common Tory 35% Labour 19% Labour
JL Partners Tory 32% Labour 26% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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