General election 2024

South Holland and The Deepings

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Labour

Paul Hilliar

2019 election result

  Tories 75.9%

  Labour 13.2%

  Lib Dem 6.6%

  Green 3.3%

  Independent 1%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 39% Labour 28% Labour
Survation Tory 34% Labour 28% Labour
Ipsos Tory 40% Labour 27% Labour
Savanta Labour 32% Tory 30% Labour
Focaldata Tory 39% Reform 25% Labour
WeThink Tory 33% Labour 32% Labour
Electoral Calculus Tory 32% Reform 29% Labour
More in Common Tory 39% Labour 27% Labour
JL Partners Tory 37% Reform 25% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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