General election 2024

South Derbyshire

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Samantha Niblett

2019 election result

  Tories 62.8%

  Labour 26.5%

  Lib Dem 7.4%

  Green 3.3%

Labour are in second place in this seat, so are likely to be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 36% Tory 31% Labour
Survation Labour 42% Tory 30% Labour
Ipsos Labour 39% Tory 31% Labour
Savanta Labour 46% Tory 25% Labour
Focaldata Labour 39% Tory 29% Labour
WeThink Labour 39% Reform 28% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 43% Reform 26% Labour
More in Common Labour 43% Tory 30% Labour
JL Partners Labour 33% Tory 29% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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