General election 2024

South Cambridgeshire

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Lib Dem

Pippa Heylings

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 43.4%

  Lib Dem 36.7%

  Labour 11.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 72% South Cambridgeshire (2019), 20% South East Cambridgeshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 49% Tory 24% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 43% Tory 26% Lib Dem
Ipsos Lib Dem 42% Tory 22% Lib Dem
Savanta Lib Dem 39% Tory 24% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 44% Tory 25% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 46% Tory 25% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 60% Tory 18% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 46% Labour 22% None
JL Partners Lib Dem 42% Labour 23% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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