General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 8% Dartford (2019), 92% Sevenoaks (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
We have removed this tactical voting recommendation because it was contradicted by multiple independent polls.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Tory 36% | Lib Dem 31% | Lib Dem |
| Survation | Tory 37% | Labour 26% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Tory 37% | Labour 25% | Labour |
| Savanta | Tory 32% | Labour 31% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Tory 34% | Labour 25% | Labour |
| WeThink | Tory 36% | Lib Dem 24% | Lib Dem |
| Electoral Calculus | Tory 33% | Labour 29% | Labour |
| More in Common | Tory 37% | Labour 23% | Labour |
| JL Partners | Tory 29% | Lib Dem 24% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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