General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 15% Blackley and Broughton (2019), 85% Salford and Eccles (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 61% | Reform 16% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 57% | Tory 12% | Labour |
| Ipsos | Labour 56% | Green 14% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 64% | Tory 13% | Labour |
| Focaldata | Labour 62% | Reform 16% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 66% | Reform 15% | Labour |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 63% | Reform 14% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 73% | Tory 13% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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