Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Tony Gill

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 54%

Labour 27.5%

Lib Dem 13.8%

Green 3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 6% Harrow West (2019), 84% Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner (2019), 10% Uxbridge and South Ruislip (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 40%	Labour 35%	Labour
Survation	Tory 41%	Labour 36%	Labour
Ipsos	Tory 39%	Labour 38%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 39%	Tory 32%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 37%	Labour 32%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 37%	Tory 28%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 39%	Labour 38%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 39%	Tory 38%	Labour
JL Partners	Tory 33%	Labour 28%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.