Rotherham

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Sarah Champion

Notional 2019 election result

Labour 40.7%

Tories 33.5%

Brexit Party 16.9%

Lib Dem 5.6%

The Yorkshire Party 2.9%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 5% Rother Valley (2019), 83% Rotherham (2019), 12% Wentworth and Dearne (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 54%	Reform 32%	Labour
Survation	Labour 63%	Lib Dem 16%	None
Ipsos	Labour 53%	Reform 36%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 54%	Reform 30%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 53%	Reform 36%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 47%	Reform 28%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 45%	Reform 36%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 44%	Reform 30%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 49%	Reform 29%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.