Romsey and Southampton North

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Geoff Cooper

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 55.2%

Lib Dem 31%

Labour 12%

UK Independence Party 1.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 13% North West Hampshire (2019), 87% Romsey and Southampton North (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 38%	Lib Dem 38%	Lib Dem
Survation	Lib Dem 34%	Tory 31%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Tory 39%	Lib Dem 24%	Lib Dem
Savanta	Lib Dem 31%	Tory 30%	Lib Dem
Focaldata	Tory 30%	Lib Dem 29%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Tory 35%	Lib Dem 26%	Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus	Tory 40%	Lib Dem 32%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Tory 32%	Lib Dem 32%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Lib Dem 32%	Tory 31%	Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.