General election 2024

Romford

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Labour

Andrew Achilleos

Notional 2019 election result

  Tories 64.6%

  Labour 26.6%

  Lib Dem 5.8%

  Green 3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 2% Hornchurch and Upminster (2019), 98% Romford (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Tory 35% Labour 34% Labour
Survation Labour 42% Tory 34% Labour
Ipsos Tory 40% Labour 36% Labour
Savanta Labour 41% Tory 32% Labour
Focaldata Tory 36% Labour 35% Labour
WeThink Labour 34% Tory 32% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 36% Tory 31% Labour
More in Common Tory 40% Labour 36% Labour
JL Partners Labour 32% Tory 31% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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