General election 2024

Rochdale

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Labour

Paul Waugh

2019 election result

  Labour 51.6%

  Tories 31.2%

  Brexit Party 8.2%

  Lib Dem 7%

  Green 2.1%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 44% Tory 16% Labour
Survation Labour 49% Tory 15% Labour
Ipsos Labour 49% Reform 17% Labour
Savanta Labour 36% Other 23% None
Focaldata Labour 56% Reform 16% Labour
WeThink Labour 48% Tory 16% Labour
Electoral Calculus Other 29% Labour 26% None
More in Common Labour 58% Reform 14% Labour
JL Partners Labour 50% Reform 18% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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