General election 2024
The Lib Dems won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Lib Dem 55% | Tory 18% | Lib Dem |
Survation | Lib Dem 64% | Tory 21% | Lib Dem |
Ipsos | Lib Dem 46% | Tory 23% | Lib Dem |
Savanta | Lib Dem 54% | Tory 23% | Lib Dem |
Focaldata | Lib Dem 61% | Tory 25% | Lib Dem |
WeThink | Lib Dem 54% | Tory 20% | Lib Dem |
Electoral Calculus | Lib Dem 59% | Reform 18% | Lib Dem |
More in Common | Lib Dem 53% | Tory 22% | Lib Dem |
JL Partners | Lib Dem 48% | Tory 24% | Lib Dem |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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