General election 2024

Rhondda and Ogmore

Tactical voting recommendation

Not needed

Notional 2019 election result

  Labour 52.2%

  Tories 19.8%

  Plaid 12.6%

  Brexit Party 11.1%

  Lib Dem 2.2%

  Green 1.3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 68% Rhondda (2019), 19% Ogmore (2019), 13% Pontypridd (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 50% Reform 20% Labour
Survation Labour 51% Plaid 19% None
Ipsos Labour 55% Plaid 13% None
Savanta Labour 49% Plaid 17% None
Focaldata Labour 60% Reform 22% Labour
WeThink Labour 66% Plaid 12% None
Electoral Calculus Labour 56% Reform 20% Labour
More in Common Labour 49% Reform 20% Labour
JL Partners Labour 57% Reform 14% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

Get updates on tactical voting

This will subscribe you to updates from tactical.vote. You can unsubscribe at any time. Privacy policy

Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS