General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 68% Rhondda (2019), 19% Ogmore (2019), 13% Pontypridd (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
This is a 'safe' seat for a progressive party. We believe tactical voting is not needed this time. We encourage you to vote for your preferred party.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
| Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | Labour 51% | Reform 17% | Labour |
| Survation | Labour 50% | Plaid 20% | None |
| Ipsos | Labour 55% | Plaid 13% | None |
| Savanta | Labour 49% | Plaid 17% | None |
| Focaldata | Labour 62% | Reform 21% | Labour |
| WeThink | Labour 66% | Plaid 12% | None |
| Electoral Calculus | Labour 57% | Reform 18% | Labour |
| More in Common | Labour 70% | Tory 14% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
Promoted by the Tactical Voting Coalition, 483 Green Lanes, London N13 4BS