Queen's Park and Maida Vale

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Labour

Georgia Gould

Notional 2019 election result

Labour 54.8%

Tories 26.7%

Lib Dem 14.8%

Green 2.7%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 18% Brent Central (2019), 24% Hampstead and Kilburn (2019), 58% Westminster North (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 61%	Green 11%	None
Survation	Labour 39%	Lib Dem 23%	None
Ipsos	Labour 65%	Tory 12%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 65%	Tory 15%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 68%	Tory 11%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 56%	Lib Dem 18%	None
Electoral Calculus	Labour 44%	Green 15%	None
More in Common	Labour 53%	Tory 13%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 59%	Tory 12%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.