General election 2024

Portsmouth South

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Labour

Stephen Morgan

2019 election result

  Labour 48.6%

  Tories 37.3%

  Lib Dem 11.4%

  Brexit Party 2.1%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Labour 53% Reform 18% Labour
Survation Labour 51% Tory 20% Labour
Ipsos Labour 54% Tory 17% Labour
Savanta Labour 53% Tory 19% Labour
Focaldata Labour 51% Tory 20% Labour
WeThink Labour 56% Tory 18% Labour
Electoral Calculus Labour 48% Reform 17% Labour
More in Common Labour 47% Tory 19% Labour
JL Partners Labour 49% Tory 20% Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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