Portsmouth South

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Labour

Stephen Morgan

2019 election result

Labour 48.6%

Tories 37.3%

Lib Dem 11.4%

Brexit Party 2.1%

Labour won this seat in 2019, so are likely to be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 53%	Reform 18%	Labour
Survation	Labour 51%	Tory 20%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 54%	Tory 17%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 53%	Tory 19%	Labour
Focaldata	Labour 51%	Tory 20%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 56%	Tory 18%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 48%	Reform 17%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 47%	Tory 19%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 49%	Tory 20%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.