Pontypridd

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Alex Davies-Jones

Notional 2019 election result

Labour 46.7%

Tories 26.8%

Plaid 10.8%

Brexit Party 8.3%

Independent 3.3%

Lib Dem 1.4%

The Cynon Valley Party 1.3%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 29% Cynon Valley (2019), 13% Ogmore (2019), 57% Pontypridd (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Labour 38%	Reform 20%	Labour
Survation	Labour 54%	Reform 16%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 50%	Tory 17%	Labour
Savanta	Labour 49%	Plaid 14%	None
Focaldata	Labour 58%	Reform 16%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 50%	Plaid 14%	None
Electoral Calculus	Labour 36%	Plaid 20%	None
More in Common	Labour 49%	Tory 17%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 45%	Reform 18%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.