General election 2024

Perth and Kinross-shire

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SNP

Pete Wishart

Notional 2019 election result

  SNP 49%

  Tories 37.4%

  Lib Dem 6.4%

  Labour 6.1%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 39% Ochil and South Perthshire (2019), 61% Perth and North Perthshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The SNP are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov SNP 38% Tory 28% SNP
Survation SNP 35% Tory 27% SNP
Ipsos SNP 35% Tory 26% SNP
Savanta SNP 33% Labour 29% None
Focaldata SNP 36% Tory 25% SNP
WeThink SNP 38% Labour 22% None
Electoral Calculus SNP 39% Labour 26% None
More in Common SNP 31% Tory 27% SNP
JL Partners SNP 39% Labour 25% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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