General election 2024

Oxford West and Abingdon

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Layla Moran

Notional 2019 election result

  Lib Dem 47.2%

  Tories 36.1%

  Labour 13.5%

  Brexit Party 1.4%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 12% Oxford East (2019), 83% Oxford West and Abingdon (2019), 4% Wantage (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 58% Tory 12% Lib Dem
Survation Lib Dem 56% Labour 17% None
Ipsos Lib Dem 43% Labour 26% None
Savanta Lib Dem 52% Tory 20% Lib Dem
Focaldata Lib Dem 48% Labour 18% None
WeThink Lib Dem 46% Labour 23% None
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 51% Reform 20% Lib Dem
More in Common Lib Dem 47% Labour 23% None
JL Partners Lib Dem 48% Labour 19% None

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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