Old Bexley and Sidcup

To vote tactically here, vote

Labour

Edward Jones

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 64%

Labour 24.2%

Lib Dem 8.1%

Green 3.2%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 12% Bexleyheath and Crayford (2019), 88% Old Bexley and Sidcup (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

Labour came in second place in this seat in 2019, and in the byelection in December 2021, so are likely to be the best-placed challenger next time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Tory 37%	Labour 26%	Labour
Survation	Labour 43%	Tory 33%	Labour
Ipsos	Labour 39%	Tory 38%	Labour
Savanta	Tory 41%	Labour 35%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 39%	Labour 29%	Labour
WeThink	Labour 42%	Tory 32%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Labour 37%	Tory 32%	Labour
More in Common	Labour 39%	Tory 38%	Labour
JL Partners	Labour 33%	Tory 26%	Labour

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.