General election 2024
The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.
This constituency is made up of 99% Norwich South (2019), 1% South Norfolk (2019).
For more details on the calculation see the method page.
Labour are most likely to have won this seat if these were the boundaries in 2019, so should be best placed to defeat the Tories again this time.
This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:
Pollster | Winner | Runner-up | Implied tactical |
---|---|---|---|
YouGov | Labour 56% | Green 14% | None |
Survation | Labour 51% | Tory 15% | Labour |
Ipsos | Labour 61% | Tory 14% | Labour |
Savanta | Labour 58% | Tory 15% | Labour |
Focaldata | Labour 57% | Tory 15% | Labour |
WeThink | Labour 57% | Tory 16% | Labour |
Electoral Calculus | Labour 51% | Green 18% | None |
More in Common | Labour 54% | Green 16% | None |
JL Partners | Labour 50% | Tory 18% | Labour |
Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.
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