General election 2024

North Shropshire

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Lib Dem

Helen Morgan

2019 election result

  Tories 62.7%

  Labour 22.1%

  Lib Dem 10%

  Green 3.2%

  Shropshire Prty 2%

The Lib Dems won this seat in a byelection in December 2021, and so are likely to be best placed to hold it in the next election.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster Winner Runner-up Implied tactical
YouGov Lib Dem 45% Tory 22% Lib Dem
Survation - - -
Ipsos Tory 31% Labour 25% Labour
Savanta Tory 32% Lib Dem 31% Lib Dem
Focaldata Tory 32% Reform 23% Lib Dem
WeThink Lib Dem 43% Tory 19% Lib Dem
Electoral Calculus Lib Dem 43% Tory 22% Lib Dem
More in Common Tory 28% Reform 26% Labour
JL Partners Tory 30% Lib Dem 29% Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.

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