North East Hampshire

To vote tactically here, vote

Lib Dem

Alex Brewer

Notional 2019 election result

Tories 59.1%

Lib Dem 24.4%

Labour 11.2%

Green 3%

Independent 1.4%

About notional results

The boundaries of this constituency have changed. This 'notional' result aims to calculate what the result in the 2019 general election would have been if this constituency had existed at the time.

This constituency is made up of 8% Basingstoke (2019), 92% North East Hampshire (2019).

For more details on the calculation see the method page.

The Lib Dems would have been the most likely second place in 2019 under these new boundaries, so should be best placed to challenge the Tories this time.

Poll check

This election has seen a large amount of polling. Our recommendations are not based on polling, but we do check to spot possible errors. This is what the pollsters say here:

Pollster	Winner	Runner-up	Implied tactical
YouGov	Lib Dem 39%	Tory 33%	Lib Dem
Survation	Tory 32%	Lib Dem 29%	Lib Dem
Ipsos	Tory 36%	Lib Dem 23%	Lib Dem
Savanta	Tory 32%	Labour 28%	Labour
Focaldata	Tory 39%	Lib Dem 27%	Lib Dem
WeThink	Tory 40%	Labour 20%	Labour
Electoral Calculus	Tory 31%	Lib Dem 24%	Lib Dem
More in Common	Tory 35%	Lib Dem 27%	Lib Dem
JL Partners	Lib Dem 29%	Tory 29%	Lib Dem

Thank you to Apogee for collating the polls.